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Showing posts with label forex trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forex trading. Show all posts

Sunday, October 17, 2010

New USA Fx Trading Regs Take Effect

Beginning Monday, October 18th, the NFA and CFTC will be 'protecting' millions of Fx traders in America. What from? From 'themselves' of course as the government would have you believe.

You can bet American brokers are putting on a 'happy face' trying to save what business they can. Now here is the crux of it:
  • All trades are now First in first out (FIFO). If a trader puts in a longer term trade, and then later sees a short term opportunity, he/she can no longer close their second short term trade at a profit, while letting the first trade run. The first trade must be closed first.
  • No hedging: You cannot have a buy and sell order open on the same pair at the same time. This is a critical strategy used by many to mitigate risk while keeping good positions open during an adverse swing.
  • Leverage: American brokers now can only offer a 50:1 leverage or less. Yes, this does reduce risk for novice traders, but it also reduces profitability for good traders by cutting profitability by 2 to 10 times, depending on the leverage used.
  • No Offshore Accounts: American traders can no longer trade with brokerages 'offshore'.

Saturday, July 10, 2010

A 401K is becoming a tool for survival...!!!


If we toss together a huge salad made up of retiring boomers and people pulling 401K's to survive.. and then chop up some real ugly economic news such as no jobs, more housing foreclosures, falling retail sales, states going bankrupt, pension plans getting reworked, and commercial real estate beginning it's plunge to zero.. the pressure on the equity market creates forces that I don't believe it can weather.

Not only are aging baby boomers taking money out of the market to retire on, we are seeing wave after wave of unemployed looking at their 401K's from their old job and thinking "hey, I'm just about squeaking by here on unemployment, and I have 40 grand laying in a silly 401K. Maybe I ought to just pay the tax and penalty and take it". As more and more people run out of their "extended" benefits, and have NO income we'll see more people elect to raid that 401K. Now, where's that 401K typically invested? Bonds? Nope. They're in stocks.

We just learned that in the week of July 1 we saw 11 billion dollars come out of stock funds. Some of that was simply nervous investors wanting to pull back if the market sours more. But some of that is indeed "broke people" looking for income any where they can get it. If they can't refi their house and take a cash out refi, if they have no job, and they just ran out of unemployment bennies, how long is Mom and Dad going to float them if indeed Mom and Dad are still around? Not long. Now that 401K looks more like a tool for survival in the present versus some retirement plan in the future.